7 Tips To Win The Social News Beauty Pageant
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by: Guest
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How can you increase your chances of appealing to an average Digger, Stumbler, or other social media user, and actually get them to vote for your content? Consider this quote from John Maynard Keynes, British born economist responsible for Keynesian economics, who explains how markets work by making an analogy to a beauty contest:
Piaomiao
Cairns was an economist. If the economists who conducted an overall ranking, Cairns can be secured access to the top ten within the extreme that he can enter the top five.
Idiots and the beauty
Most people only know that Keynesian macro-control theory contribution, but in fact he was a stock market investment is also a very unique insights. His most famous comments on the stock such as beauty contest - your personal judgement selected the beauty the probability is not high, but the same people is not high. Therefore, the wisdom of experts is not to a scientific prediction of the future of their investment income, but found that the expected market for the future. Saying that much good.
Keynes in his classic Employment, Interest and Money-On , long-term expected state and had undertaken extensive research, and involved forecast the stock market. At the same time, Cairns is also very successful stock investors, and every morning, he was always eating breakfast side, the side reading Financial Times , and then call the London stockbrokers are given their own portfolio. As a Ruimin Keynesian analysis capabilities, and he personally Macroeconomic the direction of very good so he shares a wealthy individuals.
Not only that, the stock market, Keynes s greatest contribution is that he found some laws , such as the biggest fool theory. Cairns, in the stock market rules, the Federation of the existence of a biggest idiots , it is like a Board Bo silly game - if you chase the risk, then you fool if you do not chase the risk, you still may become the biggest fool.
In the state of long-term expectations, a small section of the final section V, Cairns
Cairns said: join in the speculative market, we should first understand the rules of risks, and suffered loss of psychological preparation.
In Keynesian era, beauty pageant is limited to some published in the newspaper election Beauty and Jing Zhao and then vote by the readers decide who was elected.
Cairns this instance, the analysis of the rationale, and said: If the forecast who will participate in the quiz, and other loving close to the average category winners in such a rule, each quiz In order to win, not will choose his own view, the most beautiful people, and will choose their most beautiful people recognized
In short, it is in this quiz contest, you only vote in their own view, the most beautiful beauty a vote is not enough to win the prediction of the views of other quiz, and win championships.
In short, Cairns on the Bo stupid and the beauty pageant theoretical research, and can cover almost all the market speculation, the ultimate result.
A path to the end
However, in the beauty pageant and Bo stupid between, there are still differences of principle.
Cairns said: in the stock market, only the most astute psychological as well as their forecast public the action to be taken, and not the real trend of the market forecast. Need to know, regardless of whether the market justified, as long as it can take the lead than the market, then you are winners.
Cairns this use of the market, and is only buying market, bright The thesis of the stock, the stock market today, may already be outdated.
In contemporary market, as long as it is a good common shares, as the information fast, it was just so that such stocks can not be changing hands chips will be the more the dead lock.
Therefore, for any value judgement, are merely the product of the public psychology, and the public does not necessarily become a psychological future establish the facts.
Economics attached great importance to predict , and emphasized that the data for the fact that, due to complex transactions, the facts were also divided into two categories: one category is not clear, but significant fact that the other which is more clearly , but the fact that relations are not very big.
Market will be based on the fact that the two different dynamics, the total forecast trends.
However, the prerequisite is that the capital market must respect a rule of the Cairns language to express that the Government has the obligation of the Government - to ensure that the existing state of human interference from ongoing.
For example, trading in shares of the rules are all rules , the most difficult to change the rules later - regardless of who you how important the theoretical innovation. For the stock market, the same void. This is because a simple truth, that is your theory to a faster, but also no less than the windmill faster, but you take the windmill compared to the stock market, they will discover that the stock market response seems fast windmill.
In the capital market in the historical process, we can very easily found, we have had numerous theory windmills, but can not affect the stock market.
It can be said that the scandal and frequent, and made into Jixieyamao In the future, investors abandoned by the stock market a lot, but half-way notifying and does not listen to opinions of the market theory innovation stock market is very little stock market has its special reasons, to a path to the end - because only in this way will it be possible for the basic investor confidence, and the fair.
How can arbitrarily change the rules
Related: 7 Tips To Win The Social News Beauty Pageant
Additional information:
From searchengineland.com:
Keynes family, View Interesting Sites. Keynesian, View Interesting Sites. Keynesian beauty contest, View Interesting Sites. Keynesian consumption.
Loh Wei was sharing about the Keynesian beauty contest to show our group the. A Keynesian beauty contest is a concept developed by John Maynard.
A Keynesian Beauty Contest in the Classroom. Rosemarie Nagel Universitat Pompeu Fabra, Barcelona. Most models of economic behavior.
Suggests that manipulators are plausibly brokers. 3. This assumption is in accordance with a Keynesian beauty contest. Keynesian beauty.
Rather than try to pick the most beautiful person, the judges in a Keynesian beauty contest try to figure out which contestant everyone.
A Keynesian beauty contest is a concept developed by John Maynard Keynes and introduced in Chapter 12 of his masterwork, General Theory.
Alternatively, one could use Keynes to talk about uncertainty, or even, at the introductory level, about markets. The Keynesian.
Keynes remarked that the stock market is like a beauty contest. He had. Keynesian beauty contest. At the height.
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